Conviction VC

Conviction VC is a venture capital firm founded in 2022 that invests in early-stage, AI-native, SaaS-based disruptive technology companies with the potential for significant global revenue growth, often targeting startups capable of reaching $100 million in revenue. Their mission centers on partnering with visionary founders building "Software 3.0" companies—those translating powerful AI models into transformative products. Conviction VC emphasizes early, often first-round investments ranging from $1 million to $25 million, supporting technical teams that demonstrate velocity, pragmatism, and deep domain expertise. The firm leverages a broad and deep network to provide hands-on operational support, aiming to help founders realize ambitious growth and impact in the B2B SaaS ecosystem[1][3][4][5].

Founded by Sarah Guo and other key partners including Mike Vernal, Conviction VC emerged to address the nascent but rapidly expanding opportunity in AI-driven software innovation. Since its inception, the firm has evolved by expanding its capital base—closing a $230 million second fund in early 2025—and deepening its involvement with early-stage founders through selective programs like Embed. Their portfolio includes notable companies such as Chai, Cognition, and Pika Labs, reflecting a focus on AI and software startups that are reshaping industries globally. The founding team’s background in venture capital and deep tech investing informs their conviction-led, founder-centric approach[1][3][4][7].

Core Differentiators

• Unique Investment Model: Early-stage, often first investor, with flexible check sizes from $1M to $25M, focused on AI-native SaaS startups.
• Network Strength: Extensive, deep network leveraged to provide operational support and strategic guidance.
• Track Record: Portfolio includes high-potential AI and software companies with demonstrated growth momentum.
• Operating Support: Hands-on approach helping founders scale with velocity and pragmatism, including selective founder programs.

Role in the Broader Tech Landscape

Conviction VC rides the wave of AI-driven transformation in software, often termed "Software 3.0," where powerful AI models are integrated into end-user products to disrupt traditional industries. The timing is critical as AI capabilities mature rapidly, creating fertile ground for startups to scale globally. Market forces such as increasing enterprise adoption of AI, demand for automation, and digital transformation trends favor Conviction’s investment thesis. By backing early-stage AI-native SaaS companies, Conviction VC not only fuels innovation but also shapes the future of enterprise software and the broader startup ecosystem[1][3][4].

Quick Take & Future Outlook

Looking ahead, Conviction VC is poised to deepen its influence by continuing to back pioneering AI and SaaS startups with transformative potential. Trends such as generative AI, automation, and AI-powered analytics will likely shape their portfolio’s trajectory. As AI adoption expands across industries, Conviction’s role as a strategic partner and early investor positions it to capitalize on emerging opportunities and help define the next generation of software innovation. Their commitment to founder support and conviction-driven investing suggests sustained impact on the global SaaS and AI startup landscape[1][3][4].